Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.331792 3.532433 3.745370 3.989309 4.262459 4.560584 4.912917
2024-10-20 2.987709 3.244776 3.529719 3.872286 4.277550 4.747801 5.344167
2024-10-27 2.707775 2.992943 3.319415 3.726779 4.230402 4.845573 5.675986
2024-11-03 2.594345 2.919831 3.305230 3.805745 4.455713 5.298637 6.527561
2024-11-10 2.519973 2.885161 3.331838 3.935492 4.760315 5.901918 7.721818
2024-11-17 2.370178 2.745408 3.214727 3.867071 4.792195 6.137889 8.444935
2024-11-24 2.228630 2.605916 3.086506 3.770402 4.771727 6.294129 9.088626
2024-12-01 2.118524 2.499473 2.993304 3.712352 4.799303 6.529318 9.951196
2024-12-08 2.026869 2.411295 2.917857 3.671726 4.847333 6.806943 11.005595
2024-12-15 1.978034 2.376624 2.912291 3.731092 5.058958 7.410503 13.049961
2024-12-22 1.871255 2.257843 2.781789 3.592069 4.929230 7.364149 13.535552
2024-12-29 1.821793 2.214802 2.755597 3.609864 5.065931 7.862367 15.794542
2025-01-05 1.735065 2.123744 2.665996 3.539483 5.074435 8.180577 18.121900
2025-01-12 1.652530 2.034545 2.573874 3.457662 5.053713 8.444286 20.717341
2025-01-19 1.569579 1.940886 2.469821 3.347979 4.967877 8.545981 22.973679
2025-01-26 1.539663 1.921383 2.475517 3.421600 5.249985 9.667939 33.440188
2025-02-02 1.520733 1.916536 2.503032 3.536007 5.642613 11.334626 60.902396
2025-02-09 1.466269 1.856515 2.440458 3.484569 5.671877 11.944425 89.928298
2025-02-16 1.410637 1.792283 2.367555 3.407966 5.633090 12.325892 134.029018
2025-02-23 1.365479 1.741833 2.313938 3.362453 5.660509 12.991025 284.262807
2025-03-02 1.326289 1.698711 2.269745 3.330745 5.716849 13.837260 2550.661955
2025-03-09 1.305809 1.683070 2.269394 3.382781 5.993978 15.940071 NaN
2025-03-16 1.255602 1.619774 2.186820 3.266898 5.815213 15.687381 NaN